Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020189 0.021709 0.023288 0.025054 0.026974 0.029000 0.031302
2026-01-04 0.017611 0.019791 0.022172 0.024973 0.028185 0.031761 0.036058
2026-01-11 0.015996 0.018570 0.021489 0.025057 0.029315 0.034258 0.040457
2026-01-18 0.014773 0.017605 0.020914 0.025085 0.030232 0.036413 0.044452
2026-01-25 0.013870 0.016903 0.020538 0.025246 0.031225 0.038623 0.048559
2026-02-01 0.012927 0.016060 0.019899 0.024988 0.031616 0.040036 0.051672
2026-02-08 0.012054 0.015233 0.019205 0.024582 0.031746 0.041066 0.054282
2026-02-15 0.011389 0.014621 0.018735 0.024413 0.032139 0.042419 0.057358
2026-02-22 0.010763 0.014019 0.018232 0.024151 0.032365 0.043526 0.060120
2026-03-01 0.010234 0.013510 0.017817 0.023972 0.032672 0.044729 0.063055
2026-03-08 0.009758 0.013047 0.017432 0.023801 0.032962 0.045902 0.065984
2026-03-15 0.009383 0.012698 0.017183 0.023797 0.033475 0.047398 0.069457
2026-03-22 0.008954 0.012270 0.016821 0.023640 0.033797 0.048692 0.072802
2026-03-29 0.008589 0.011916 0.016549 0.023601 0.034292 0.050274 0.076713
2026-04-05 0.008291 0.011641 0.016372 0.023686 0.034968 0.052155 0.081207
2026-04-12 0.007999 0.011359 0.016168 0.023713 0.035546 0.053904 0.085586
2026-04-19 0.007763 0.011147 0.016054 0.023864 0.036316 0.055985 0.090638
2026-04-26 0.007438 0.010787 0.015700 0.023622 0.036439 0.057020 0.093967
2026-05-03 0.007099 0.010391 0.015274 0.023242 0.036313 0.057625 0.096571
2026-05-10 0.006838 0.010102 0.014996 0.023083 0.036534 0.058811 0.100264
2026-05-17 0.006573 0.009795 0.014677 0.022837 0.036593 0.059716 0.103498
2026-05-24 0.006341 0.009531 0.014414 0.022669 0.036768 0.060821 0.107158
2026-05-31 0.006125 0.009282 0.014164 0.022509 0.036944 0.061930 0.110887